Before we get into the interesting question of whether New Hampshire could really be powered by 100 percent renewable energy, let me reassure loyal readers: Even though the group doing the analysis is headed by an A-list actor, the only person I’ll quote is a Stanford University professor.
Posted by David Brooks | Thursday, July 2, 2015
The Portland Press-Herald reports that the legislature in Maine failed to override a veto by the governor of a vaccination bill "that would have required parents opting out on philosophic grounds consult with a medical professional and obtain a signature before being allowed to forgo vaccines for their children." The whole story is here.
In other words, Maine, which has one of the nation's lowest rates of vaccination among schoolchildren, didn't do what California did - toughen school vaccine rules in the face of resurgence of some dangerous but extremely preventable diseases like measles, a return fueled by vaccine avoidance. (As a side note, this Wired story notes that the law makes California a "perfect test lab for vaccine laws" because you'll have similar kids who grew up under different laws.)
New Hampshire has always had a pretty strict law - no "philosophical" exemptions are allowed here - which is why we have good rates of vaccination. Vermont, on the other hand, shows the dark side of its hemp-loving hippie stereotype with a very high rate of vaccine avoidance due to misplaced fears of Big Pharma and Nasty-Sounding Chemicals.
Posted by David Brooks | Wednesday, July 1, 2015
Two of the major questions about climate change are: how much carbon dioxide pollution are forests mopping up, and will this capacity shrink over time?
I mentioned this question in a recent column about UNH-led programs integrating satellite imagry and demographic data to better understand how forests in the Northeast are coping with development and climate change (read it yourself - right here). But we're not alone in wondering, as a recent story in the journal Nature makes clear;
Getting an accurate reading on the status of Earth's forests is hard because scientists cannot wrap measuring tapes around the roughly 400 billion trees scattered across the planet. So researchers are exploring ways to track forest growth more efficiently, using planes and satellites. And they are feeding all of their data into sophisticated computer models that are designed to forecast how trees will respond in the future.
Such forest measurements are sorely needed as nations wrestle with how to slow climate change. Some plans call for wealthy governments or private companies to pay poorer nations in return for safeguarding the carbon in their forests. With a major international climate negotiation approaching later this year, and billions of dollars in forest payments potentially on the table, scientists are racing to advise countries and other stakeholders about just how much carbon trees are storing, and how long that carbon will stay locked up.
Read the whole story right here.
Posted by David Brooks | Wednesday, July 1, 2015
My weekly chat with NH Public Radio host Peter Biello concerned, as usual, my column - which this week pondered a report about how New Hampshire could be powered 100% by wind, water and sun. (Answer: Almost certainly not, but it's a useful intellectual exercise.)
Posted by David Brooks | Tuesday, June 30, 2015
NHPR reports that "New Hampshire’s largest utility says a US Supreme Court ruling which on mercury emissions won’t affect its plans to install pollution controls at its coal-burning plant in Portsmouth." (Story here)
The Concord Monitor has a more detailed story here.
The much larger Merrimack Station plant in Bow already has the controls, installed at an eye-watering price of $450 million and the center of a big fight over disinvestment of power plants. The controls at the Schiller Plant in Portsmouth are much cheaper: $2 million, says NHPR.
Posted by David Brooks | Monday, June 29, 2015
I like the lede of my column in today's Telegraph:
Posted by David Brooks | Saturday, June 27, 2015
The Concord Monitor reports of a big proposal from New Hampshire Solar Gardens, an operation I wrote about last year that helps develop community photovoltaic projects:
Seven community solar garden projects throughout (Franklin) would total 8.5 megawatts. That’s more than the total megawatts of residential and commercial solar projects installed across the Granite State in the past seven years. And it’s more than eight times the size of the state’s current largest solar development in Peterborough.
New Hampshire has 8 megawatts of solar energy currently installed, according to the Solar Energy Industries Association.
The whole story is here.
While this is big for solar in NH, it's small for power production. How small?
Factoring in solar's intermittency (it's capacity factor, technically speaking) this will generate roughly one-third of one-sixth of the annual output of the Northern Wood Project, the coal-turned-to-wood power plant in Portsmouth - and it is just one-third of the Schiller Station power plant, which is one-third the size of the Merrimack Station coal-fired power plant in Bow. So if you're thinking of replacing coal with solar in this state, there's a long long way to go.
On the slip side, this is relatively distributed power, so its indirect cost on the grid is less than adding this output to an existing power plant because it won't require as much transmission-line usage.
Posted by David Brooks | Friday, June 26, 2015
Genetically modifying plants to do certain things is a good idea (in my humble opinion) but like all technologies it doesn't always translate from the lab to the field, as reported by Science magazine.
Researchers had hoped that the wheat modified to emit a warning pheromone would ward off aphids while also attracting their natural enemies, thereby allowing farmers to spray less insecticide. Despite promising signs in the laboratory, the field trial—which made headlines in 2012 after opponents of genetic modification (GM) threatened to obstruct it—failed to show any effect.
“If you make a transgenic plant that produces that alarm continuously, it’s not going to work,” he says. “You have a plant crying wolf all the time, and the bugs won’t listen to it any longer.”
Inspired by science cafes, NHPR tackles probiotics (the big takeaway: eat well, for crying out loud)
Posted by David Brooks | Friday, June 26, 2015
Inspired by Science Cafe NH and Science on Tap, both of which have tackled the topic this year, the statwide call-in show The Exchange on NHPR discussed "the emerging science of probiotics" on Thursday's program - which you can listen to right here.
They snagged an impressive guest: Allan Walker, a nutrition professor at Harvard Medical School who chaired a symposium about emerging research on probiotics last fall.
One of the conclusions: Good diet is the most important factor, by a long shot. Slugging down a probiotic pill or a dose of some specialty food isn't enough.
Posted by David Brooks | Thursday, June 25, 2015
You've probably heard the quote "demographics is destiny," expressing the idea that pretty much everything - war, peace, economics, social change, popular music, whatever - is driven by changes in the numbers and makeup of the human population. It's an exaggeration for effect, of course, but it's pretty accurate as is obvious in places like fast-aging Japan, too-many-single-males China and too-many-restless-teens central Africa.
So if New Hampshire's economy picks up in the next few years, perhaps it will be a reflection of of a demographic trend I point out in today's Telegraph: A possible end to the Great Recession's clampdown on our in-migration.
As with Vermont and especially Maine, New Hampshire suffers from Overly Pale Sydrome: non-hispanic whites have small familes, so they (we) don't do a good job of keeping population numbers up. Our population growth depends on people (especially young adults) moving here, mostly from other U.S. states.
That mostly ended when the recession killed off jobs and stalled most migration.
But 2014 census estimates of state and county population hint that this may be reversing, that we might be shifting back into pre-recession migration patterns. That would be a good thing for the economy of southern NH, but as I note in the story it does little or nothing for the northern parts of the state. Coos County, for example, has seen its numbers fall 4 percent in four years!
Posted by David Brooks | Wednesday, June 24, 2015
We hear how removing dams from rivers can hugely increase the number of alewife (a small anadromous herring that is important in Northeastern river ecology) which make the runs back up the river.
But as a story in today's Press-Herald shows, you don't have to remove the dam: Just opening the fish runs at the right time has tripled the alewife run in a small river on the Maine-New Brunswick border.
Why weren't the fish allowed through before? Politics of the outdoors:
Alewives were effectively shut out of the St. Croix River from 1825 to 1981, first because of impassable dams, and later because of pollution from lumber and paper mills. Meanwhile, smallmouth bass were introduced to the region by late- 19th century sport fishermen, supporting fishing camps and guides across the watershed.
But with construction of a better fishway at the dam at the mouth of the river in the early 1980s, the alewives’ annual run grew 13-fold to more than 2.6 million fish. Bass guides worried about the possible effects on smallmouth bass and persuaded Augusta lawmakers to pass a 1995 law that ordered the fishways at the Grand Falls and the Woodland dams – which are controlled from the Maine side of the river – to be closed to the fish. The St. Croix alewife runs collapsed to just 900 fish in 2002, a decline of 99.7 percent.
This is a reminder that even in the wilds of northern Maine, there's no such thing as wilderness any more. Humans control it all.